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So, which is more suitable for you, Motley Fool or Zacks Premium?
In this review, I am going to examine both Motley Fool and Zacks stock-picking services in great detail, so you will have all the information you need to make a more informed decision.
Zacks Premium
First of all, let’s take a look at Zacks Premium.
So, what is Zacks Premium?
Zacks Premium is a paid subscription service to provide traders and investors with investment tools and research called “Zacks Rank”(i.e. a type of rating)
It does not give you specific stock picks like Motley Fool.
Instead, it assigns a Zacks Rank to each of the stocks that it tracks to help you make your own investment decision.
So, what is Zacks Rank?
How do they calculate the Zacks Rank?
Before we go into the details of how the stock ranking is determined, let’s first understand what is the strategy behind its stock-picking system.
Zacks’ stock ranking is founded entirely on one premise:
“Earnings estimate revisions are the most powerful force impacting stock prices.”, according to Zacks’ Founder and CEO, Len Zacks,
So, what that means is that if the stock’s earnings estimate is revised higher, then the Zacks’ rank of the stock will be high.
Conversely, if the stock’s earnings estimate is revised lower, then the Zacks’ rank of the stock will be low.
Now, what does Zacks get all the stocks’ earnings estimates?
It collects and analyzes the stocks’ earnings estimates from all the brokerage analysts that follow the stocks.
Then, it uses a mathematical formula to calculate the Zacks’ Rank of the stock based on the following four inputs:
- Agreement (i.e. the extent to which all analysts are revising their earnings estimates in the same direction. The greater the percentage of analysts that are revising their estimates higher, the better the score will be for this component.)
- Magnitude (i.e. the size of the recent change in the current consensus earnings estimate for the fiscal year and the next fiscal year. The higher, the better the score for this component)
- Upside (i.e. the difference between the most accurate estimate as calculated by Zacks and the consensus estimate. A bigger difference between the most accurate estimate and the consensus estimate is better)
- Surprise (i.e. Zacks also factors in the last few quarters’ earnings per share (EPS) surprise. Companies with a positive earnings surprise are more likely to surprise again in the future)
Each one of the above-mentioned components is given a raw score which is then used to calculate Zacks Rank.
As this raw score is recalculated every night, Zacks Ranks will be updated every day as well.
There are a total of 5 different ranks:
- Zacks Rank #1 (i.e. Strong Buy)
- Zacks Rank #2 (i.e. Buy)
- Zacks Rank #3 (i.e. Hold)
- Zacks Rank #4 (i.e. Sell)
- Zacks Rank #5 (i.e. Strong Sell)
When Zacks Rank issues a “Strong Buy” or “Buy” (Zacks Rank #1 or #2), what it means is that the stock’s earnings estimates are rising.
If the stock’s earnings are going to be more than expected, then the stock would be undervalued and the stock price would likely go up.
When Zacks Rank issues a “Strong Sell” or “Sell” (Zacks Rank #5 or #4), what it means is that the stock’s earnings estimates are declining.
If the stock’s earnings are going to be less than expected, then the stock would be overvalued and the stock price would likely go down.
However, these stock ratings are ONLY for short-term trading (i.e. the next 1 to 3 months), but not for long-term investment.
Here’s why.
Publicly traded companies are required to report their quarterly earnings, so the “earnings estimate revisions” indicator that Zacks uses is ONLY valid for at most one quarter.
So, if you are into stock trading and trying to profit from the short-term price movement, then you can incorporate Zack’s rank into your own trading analysis and make your stock buying or selling decision.
Now, what exactly can you expect to get when you sign up for Zacks Premium Subscription?
When you subscribe to Zacks Premium, you will get access to the following:
- Zacks #1 Rank List (i.e. this list of short-term trading picks consists of Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks – the top 5% with the most potential )
- Equity Research Reports
- Zacks Industry Rank (i.e. this is used to find the best stocks in the best industries)
- Earnings ESP (i.e. Expected Surprise Prediction) Filter (e.g. it can be used to search for stocks to buy beforehand that have the highest probability of positively surprising for profitable earnings season trading)
- Focus List of 50 stocks for the long haul (i.e. selected by Zack’s Director of Research Sheraz Mian based on their earnings momentum. Each pick comes with a report that details the reasons behind it)
- Zacks Confidential: Access includes hand-selected picks and insights from our experts
How much does Zacks Premium cost?
It costs $249 per year with a free 30-day trial period.
Motley Fool
So, what is Motley Fool?
Motley Fool is one of the leading stock research and analysis websites in the world.
It was founded by two brothers, David Gardner, and Tom Gardner.
Motley Fool not only provides a lot of free stock market news but also offers a number of stock-picking services.
Two of its most popular stock-picking subscriptions are “Motley Fool Stock Advisor” and ” Motley Fool Rule Breakers”.
Unlike Zacks Premium which is mostly about short-term stock trading picks, Motley Fool is more focused on making stock recommendations for the long term.
So, what investment strategy does Motley Fool use to pick their stocks?
The Motley Fool believes that you should only “invest in great businesses, not stock tickers“, especially great businesses that have huge growth potential and are poised to be the market leader in the future.
Here are just some of the criteria that they look at:
- Sustainable competitive advantage over its competitors (i.e. powerful branding, patents, cost leadership, unduplicable distribution systems, etc)
- Dominate the industry (i.e. it has a significant market share in the industry)
- Strong management team (i.e. the management team of the company must be competent and experienced)
- Good financials (i.e the company is in very good financial health with strong earnings, positive cash flow, and relatively low debt)
Between them, there is a slight difference in investment style.
Motley Fool Stock Advisor: It’s more about recommending companies that are fundamentally strong and it’s currently being undervalued.
Generally, these value stocks are more stable and less volatile, and their stock prices go up steadily over time.
Motley Fool Rule Breakers: It’s more about recommending high-growth companies that are in emerging industries and have the huge growth potential to become the next market leader. (Think Amazon and Netflix 10 years ago)
Generally, high-growth stocks are more volatile, but their potential returns will be much greater than value stocks in the long term.
Now, let’s take a look at their track record as of Jun 2022.
Below is the performance comparison between Motley Fool Stock Advisor and S&P 500 between 2002 and 2nd June 2022.
As of 2nd June 2022, average Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendations have returned over 357% since inception while S&P 500 has returned 123%.
In short, the Motley Fool Stock Advisor has outperformed the market 3 to 1 during this time period.
But, what about its individual stock picks?
This metric is important because I might not be buying every single stock recommendation made by Motley Fool Stock Advisor.
Below is the performance of individual stock picks over the years.
As of May 2022, Motley Fool Stock Advisor has had 171 stock recommendations with 100%+returns.
Here are just some of their best-performing stock picks:
- Amazon: it’s up 19,806%*
- Netflix: it’s up 23,901%*
- Walt Disney: it’s up 632%*
- NVIDIA: it’s up 16,423%*
- Shopify: it is up 4,107%*
- United Health Group: it is up 2,338 %*
[*Returns as of 31st Dec 2021. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Individual investment results may vary. All investing involves risk of loss.]
Will the Motley Fool Stock Advisor always be right about their stock recommendations?
No, because no one can be right about their stock picks 100% of the time.
Let me sidetrack a bit here.
If any stock picking service tells you that they have a close to 100% success rate on their stock picks and can guarantee you high investment returns, you should definitely stay away.
Even Warren Buffet has loss-making stocks in his portfolio, but he still achieves above-average returns because a few big gainers in the portfolio can make up for the under-performers.
What I like about the Motley Fool Stock Advisor is that they are very open and transparent about their bad investments.
As a member, I can see the performance of ALL its past and current stock recommendations (even for closed positions).
For some other stock-picking services that I’ve tried, they don’t publish the performance of all their past and current stock recommendations, so it’s not easy for you to find out their true track record.
For example, the year 2022 has not been good for high-growth stocks because of rising interest rates and high inflation.
So, you can see a lot of Motley Fool Stock Advisor’s stock recommendations are not doing very well.
The truth is that other stock-picking services are not doing well either because of the stock market crash.
Do I still think it’s worth subscribing to the Motley Fool Stock Advisor?
My answer is yes.
The stock market goes up and down all the time.
Every few years, there is a bear market.
According to Peter Lynch who is a legendary fund manager, far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate correction than lost in corrections themselves.
In fact, I think the bear market is the BEST time to start investing in the stock market.
Why?
During a bear market, it’s more likely to find great businesses selling at very cheap prices because people are just selling out of fear when the business is still fundamentally sound.
A market crash is a time when huge wealth transfers from irrational and emotional investors to patient and rational investors.
If you are thinking of getting into stock investing, I highly recommend the Motley Fool Stock Advisor because I think there are a lot of well-researched stock recommendations with long-term growth potential.
So, what do you actually get when you subscribe to Motley Fool Stock Advisor?
Below is what you will get:
- You will receive two stock recommendations every month, as well as their monthly “Best Buys Now”:
- On the first Thursday of the month, you will receive a new stock recommendation
- On the second Thursday, you will receive 5 New Best Buys Now
- On the third Thursday, you will receive another new stock recommendation
- and on the fourth Thursday, you will receive another 5 New Best Buys Now
- You will receive timely updates on all the stock picks as well as a real-time email notification when it’s time to sell, so you are never left wondering what to do
- You gain instant access to all past Motley Fool’s Stock Advisor recommendations
- You gain instant access to all of their stock reports
- The Motley Fool’s Top 10 Best Stock to Buy Right Now (which features some of their recent picks that still offer the best potential return).
- The Motley Fool’s Top 5 Starter Stock (which features the ideal stocks that should be the foundation of any new investor’s portfolio.)
So, how much does Motley Fool Stock Advisor cost?
Its annual membership is usually priced at $199 a year.
Right now, there’s a special limited-time $89 offer* for new members for the first year when you click the link here to try it out for 30 days with a Membership-Fee-Back Guarantee. (*Billed annually. Introductory price for the first year for new members only. First-year bills at $89 and renews at $199)
So, for $89 a year- that’s just $1.70 a week – you can gain unlimited access to their library of expert stock recommendations which are carefully selected to help you grow your wealth.
Special $89 Stock Advisor Introductory Offer For New Members (Usual Price $199/year)
Zacks Premium Vs Motley Fool Stock Advisor
So, which one is better for you, Zacks Premium or Motley Fool Stock Advisor?
In terms of stock picks, Zacks Premium offers Zacks Rank #1 stocks that are good for short-term stock trading (i.e. it can be used to help you predict the price movement for the next 1 to 3 months).
Basically, these are NOT specific stock trading picks with entry price, exit price, and cut loss point.
It’s just a tool (i.e. Zacks Rank) that you can use to help with your own stock trading analysis.
On the other hand, Motley Fool Stock Advisor gives specific stock picks for long-term investment (i.e. hold the stocks for at least 1 to 3 years) with detailed research reports that outline the reason behind the recommendation.
For all the Motley Fool stock picks, they will send you real-time updates on the stocks whenever there is any news as well as real-time alerts when they think it is time to sell.
So, you won’t be left wondering what to do after you decide to follow their stock recommendation.
In terms of stock-picking strategy, Zacks essentially uses a single indicator called ” Earnings estimate revisions” and a mathematical formula to calculate the stock rank.
On the other hand, Motley Fool Stock Advisor uses strict stock selection criteria to make stock recommendations.
In terms of track record, Motley Fool has a very impressive track record.
As of 2nd June 2022, average Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendations have returned over 357% since inception while S&P 500 has returned 123%.
For Zacks Premium, it says that it has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +25.4% per year from January 1, 1988, to January 3rd, 2022 with Zacks #1 Rank stock list.
Personally, I find this claim a bit confusing.
First of all, let’s say its subscribers buy the stocks immediately the minute it appears on the Zacks #1 Rank.
Then, when do they sell the stock?
Do they sell it immediately when it gets kicked out of Zacks #1 rank, or when it appears on Zacks #5 Rank (strong sell)?
So, what I feel is that Zacks Rank is more of a tool than specific stock picks with clear buy and sell recommendations.
At the end of the day, you need to decide whether you can get a lot of value out of this tool because this is essentially what Zacks Premium is offering.
Although you also get things like a Focus List of 50 stocks selected by Zack’s Director of Research Sheraz Mian, I don’t really fancy this because I don’t even know this guy and his track record.
In terms of pricing, Zacks Premium is charging you $249 a year with a free 30-day trial.
For Motley Fool Stock Advisor, its annual membership fee is $199 per year.
What’s more, right now there’s a special discount of 60% OFF on the annual membership for NEW members.
That means you could get the annual membership at $89 per year instead of the usual $199 per year when you click the link here to try it out for 30 days with an unconditional membership-fee-back guarantee.
So, for $89 a year- that’s just $1.70 a week – you can gain unlimited access to their library of expert stock recommendations which are carefully selected to help you grow your wealth.
Conclusion
So, to sum it up, if you are a stock trader (i.e. buy and sell stocks frequently and hold the stock for a very short period of time), then you might find Zacks Rank useful in your stock trading analysis.
But, if you are investing for the long term and are looking for stock recommendations, then I would recommend Motley Fool Stock Advisor.
Special $89 Stock Advisor Introductory Offer For New Members (Usual Price $199/year)
Thank you,
george Rahme
Thankyou for analyzing both the
Companies. Its worth to have
these companies i should keep
both the companies as my stock
advidors and should decide on a timely basis which suits me.