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So, what is the best stock market strategy for you in 2020?
The answer depends very much on your age, your financial goals, and your level of risk tolerance.
For example, your stock market strategy in your 20s will be very different from that in your 50s.
When you are in your 50s and nearing your retirement, you might want to adopt a more conservative stock market strategy and look for stocks that are considered safe and are also able to generate stable monthly retirement income for you.
But, when you are in your 20s, you still have a lot of time ahead of you and you don’t really have a lot of financial responsibility yet ( e.g. providing for your children and making mortgage payments)
So, you could afford to take more risks and might want to adopt a more aggressive stock investment strategy that has a lot of upside potential.
In this post, I am going to share with you what are the different types of stock market strategies and EXACTLY how to choose the best stock market strategy for yourself.
But, before we start, I want to share with you something really important – the right mindset for stock investing.
When it comes to investing, there is always a risk.
What is the risk?
It means that there is a real possibility that you will lose your money ( part of it or even all of it).
So, before you use your hard-earned money to invest, think about why you made the choice to save and invest.
For early retirement?
A bigger house?
Kid’s college tuition?
Be mindful of your why and treat your money with more care.
Why do I want to say this?
Because too many people only look at the upside and ignore the downside risk.
That’s NOT the mindset you want to adopt when you start investing.
Just imagine what you would do if you are asked to bet your entire savings on a fair coin toss.
It’s double or nothing.
Would you do it?
Of course, you wouldn’t.
Then, would you be willing to risk 30% of your savings to make an equivalent gain?
Because losing a substantial amount of money could affect your standard of living.
On the other hand, a comparable gain would not improve your life by as much.
In other words, you might feel the risk is not justified by the return.
So, why would you do it differently when it comes to investing?
Risk of Ruin
Below is the table of the risk of ruin.
You can see that the more you lose, the harder it gets to recover your loss.
In fact, when you lose 50% of your capital, you will have to make a 100% gain to make back your lost capital.
Warren Buffett famously said,
“Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Don’t forget rule No.1”
So, don’t get lost in the pursuit of high returns in the short term when you should focus on consistent returns for the long term.
And take advantage of the 8th wonder in the world – power of compounding.
With compounding, even moderate returns can exponentially grow your money over time.
So, what is compounding?
Compounding refers to continuously reinvesting your returns back into your investments so that your previous returns can also generate its own earnings.
For example, if you invest $1,000 at the beginning of the year, you will get $1,100 at the end of the year at an annual return of 10%.
So, instead of taking out the additional $100 that you have earned, you put it back into your investment and let it generate returns for you.
When it comes to compounding, the earlier you start, the sooner you can take advantage of the power of compounding to grow your wealth exponentially over the long term.
Now, you might ask, ” Do I really need to start early? Is it really worth it? “
Let’s look at the example below.
If you start investing at the age of 21 with an annual investment of $2,000 for the next 20 years, your total investment of $24,000 will be about $500,000 by the age of 67, assuming an 8% return compounded monthly.
But if you start investing much later at the age of 47, the same total investment of $24,000 will only be about $60,000 by the age of 67, assuming an 8% return compounded monthly.
Just by delaying to invest by 26 years, you lose out by almost $450,000 in returns for the same amount of investment.
So, when it comes to investing, here are two golden rules that you need to follow:
- Start as early as possible even if it’s just a small amount of money
- Don’t lose money (i.e. take calculated risks)
How To Choose The Right Stock Market Strategy For You
If you are new to investing, what should be the most suitable investment strategy for you?
How do you decide which stock market strategy is the best for your situation?
To answer these questions, you need to know these things first:
- What types of investment strategies are available?
- What is your investing style? (i.e. hands-on or hands-off?)
- What are your investment goals? (i.e. are you investing for the long term or are you going for quick capital gain in the short term?)
- What is your risk profile? (i.e. risk-taker or very conservative investor?)
Now, let’s talk about the types of stock investing strategies first.
Basically, there are two broad types of stock investing strategies:
- Passive investing strategy
- Active investing strategy
Passive investing generally refers to a buy-and-hold strategy for long-term investment horizons, with minimal trading in the market.
This is most suitable for people who prefer a hands-off approach to investing.
Active investing generally refers to an investment strategy that involves ongoing buying and selling activity by the investors.
This is most suitable for people who prefer a more hands-on approach to investing.
In other words, it’s best for people who want to be actively involved and constantly monitor their investments and markets to look for new profitable investment opportunities.
Now, which one is more suitable for you?
Passive or active investing?
Passive investing is probably better for you if :
- You don’t have a lot of investing knowledge and experience
- You are not very passionate about investing or learning more about investing
- You have no time to choose and manage your investments
However, if you are into investing and don’t mind spending a lot of time to choose and manage your own investments, then active investing is a better option for you.
Now, let’s look at each type of stock market strategy in detail.
Types Of Stock Market Strategies
Passive Investing Strategy
The most common example of a passive investing strategy is investing in an investment fund such as exchange-traded-funds (i.e. ETFs) or mutual funds.
So, which one is better?
Or should you invest in both?
The ONLY investment fund that you should put your money in is exchange-traded-funds.
First, what is an exchange-traded-fund?
An exchange-traded fund (ETF) is an investment fund that holds assets such as stocks, bonds or commodities.
It trades on an exchange, just like a stock. So, you can buy and sell ETFs the same way as stocks.
There are three broad types of ETFs:
- Stock ETFs
- Bonds ETFs
- Commodities ETFs
When you invest in a stock ETF, you are not buying just one stock but many different stocks.
That’s good because if you invest in just one single stock, you could lose all your money if that company goes bankrupt.
But that will NEVER happen with a stock ETF because it’s extremely unlikely that a group of companies can go bankrupt at the same time.
So, which stock ETFs are good investments?
There are stock ETFs that only invests in a specific industry like healthcare or financials.
However, I don’t recommend it if you are just starting to invest.
Here is what I DO recommend – Stock Market Index fund ( e.g. S&P 500 index fund)
An S&P 500 index fund invests in the 500 stocks that comprise the S&P 500 index, in market-cap-weighted proportions.
So, when you invest in S&P 500 index fund, it’s almost the same as investing in all the 500 stocks at the same time.
That is very diversified.
Diversification is good because your risk will be reduced.
Also, the index fund represents the health of the country’s economy.
A country’s economy can go through periods of growth and recession, but it will always grow over time in the long term.
What that means is that index fund will always go up in the long term.
Besides stock market index ETFs, investment-grade bond ETFs are also a good investment choice.
It’s safer and less volatile compared to index ETFs, so it’s good for investors who are more risk-averse or those who want a more balanced portfolio.
So far, I have said a lot of good things about ETFs.
What about mutual funds?
Should you invest in mutual funds too?
The short answer is STAY AWAY FROM mutual funds.
Mutual funds are generally professionally managed by fund managers.
And research has shown that more than 90% of fund managers CANNOT beat the stock market index return.
In other words, you are better off putting your money in a passively managed index ETFs which closely tracks the stock market index return.
What’s more, mutual funds charge higher fees (typically 1 to 1.5%)
Compared to mutual funds, ETFs have much cheaper fees which are less than 0.5%.
That’s only about 1% difference in fees, BUT this small 1% can significantly reduce your returns over the years.
Assuming that you invest $100,000 with an investment fund for 20 years with a 4% annual return, let’s see how much a small percentage increase in annual fees can reduce your portfolio value.
0.5% annual fees reduce your portfolio value by $10,000 compared to a portfolio with a 0.25% annual fee.
Let’s put this in perspective.
And $10,000 is 10% of your total investment value.
So, a 0.25% increase in annual fees will cost you a 10% decrease in your investment portfolio.
1% annual fees reduce your portfolio value by nearly $30,000, compared to a portfolio with only 0.25% annual fees.
And $30,000 is 30% of your total investment value.
So, a 0.75% increase in annual fees will cost you a 30% decrease in your investment portfolio.
My advice for you is that STAY AWAY from mutual funds and ONLY invest in stock market index ETFs with very low all-in annual fees (i.e. expense ratios)
So, how and where do you buy market index ETFs?
One of the most reputable ETF providers is Vanguard.
For example, I opened my investment account with M1 Finance which allows me to build a customized portfolio of ETFs for FREE. (yes, no fees)
It also allows buying fractional shares (which means breaking whole shares down into smaller, more affordable pieces), so you can diversify your portfolio even though you don’t have a lot of money to start investing with.
- Prefer a hands-off approach
- Conservative when it comes to taking risks in investing
- Investing for the long term (e.g. retirement)
Active Investing Strategy
If you prefer a more hands-on approach, then an active investing strategy is more suitable for you.
Here are some of the best active stock market strategies that you can choose from.
Growth Stock Investing
So, what is growth stock investing?
Basically, it means that you find stocks that have the potential to grow to be tomorrow’s stock market leaders.
Just imagine that you invested in Amazon a few years ago before it became the biggest e-commerce platform in the world.
According to CNBC, if you invested $1,000 in Amazon 10 years ago, that $1,000 investment in 2009 would be worth more than $13,300 as of Dec. 9, 2019, for a total return of around 1,232%.
What if you invested in Netflix before it became market leaders in the industry?
Your $1,000 investment would be worth more than $16,000 because Netflix’s share price has gone up by more than 1600% in the past ten years.
With growth stock investing, you can see that the potential returns are huge.
So, how do you actually find these great growth stocks?
One of the easiest ways is to subscribe to Motley Fool Rule Breakers which helps you discover market-beating growth stocks that are poised to be tomorrow’s stock market leaders.
Here are a few examples of growth stocks that it recommended to its members.
Check out my review on Motley Fool Rule Breakers Here.
Value investing is an investment strategy made famous by Warren Buffet, one of the greatest investors of all time.
So, what is value investing strategy?
Value investing is all about buying good businesses at a discount to their intrinsic value.
In other words, you will be looking for undervalued stocks to buy.
Warren Buffett has used value investing strategy to help him make billions of dollars over the span of 60 years.
So, this investment strategy is proven to work.
Often, we have the misconception that if we want high returns, we have to be willing to take high risk.
This is NOT true.
Value investing is one of the few strategies that can offer you low risk and high return.
Why is it low risk and high return?
Because value investors invest with a margin of safety.
Margin of Safety = Intrinsic Value – Market Price
The difference between the intrinsic value and the market price is called margin of safety.
What it means is that investors will only buy the stock when the market price is significantly below its intrinsic value.
A high margin of safety offers more protection and higher returns.
So, who is value investing strategy suitable for?
It is suitable for investors who:
- Prefer a hands-on approach
- Are investing for the long term
- Are conservative when it comes to taking risks
If you want to get access to all the latest value stocks, you should try out “Morningstar Premium” for free, a very popular investment advisory subscription service offered by Morningstar.
Inside “Morningstar Premium“, you get access to all its analysts’ ratings and research reports on stocks, bonds, and funds.
So, what exactly do you get as a Morningstar Premium subscriber?
This is a list of stocks that are rated 5 stars.
To get rated 5 stars, the stock must be trading meaningfully below the estimated fair value that is calculated by Morningstar’s analysts.
To help you understand better about its rating system, a 3-star rating means the stock is trading near the estimated fair value while 1- and 2-star rating means the stocks are trading meaningfully above the estimated fair value.
You will also get access to its list of wide-moat stocks.
So, what is considered “wide-moat stocks”?
Only companies that have competitive advantages over its competitors will fall under this category.
What Is Economic Moat?
Economic moat refers to a business’s ability to have a sustainable competitive advantage over its competitors. So, it will enjoy higher profits over its competitors in the long term.
A typical example of competitive advantage is a low-cost advantage.
Due to its size and retailer strength, Walmart can undercut most of its competitors by offering a wide selection and low price.
Companies can develop a competitive advantage through product/service differentiation as well.
This can happen only when the company has a value and unique offering that its customers want and cannot get it from somewhere else.
For example, Rolex differentiates itself by having a value brand. Amazon Prime uses speed as its competitive advantage.
- Wide Moat (highest)
- Narrow Moat
- None (lowest)
So, companies with the highest moat rating have the most sustainable competitive advantages, thus the greatest potential for future price appreciation.
With Morningstar Premium, you will also get access to a list of “Medalist ETFs” which are Morningstar’s top-rated ETFs with the lowest cost.
Try out Morningstar Premium & get a free 14-day trial
Dividend Stock Investing
The dividend stock investing strategy is about finding companies that will pay consistent and predictable dividends in the future.
Companies that have a long history of paying consistent dividends are generally well-established companies.
Examples of such companies are utility companies and REITs.
The best part about this strategy is that it offers investors both income and capital appreciation.
If you want to find safe dividend companies, then you should always start with the so-called ” Dividend Aristocrats”.
The dividend aristocrats are companies that have increased their dividends annually over the past 25 years.
Here are some well-known Dividend Aristocrats:
- Colgate – Palmolive
- Johnson & Johnson
The list is much longer than that.
In fact, you can check out the full list of Dividend Aristocrats here.
So, who is the dividend stock investing strategy suitable for?
It’s suitable for investors who
- Prefer a hands-on approach
- Are looking for consistent income from their investments
- Are conservative when it comes to taking risks
Recommended Resources To Help You Make Money In Stock Market
So, to make money from the stock market, you first need to know what good stocks you can invest in.
But, no one can possibly scan the entire stock market for good investment opportunities because you simply don’t have the time. (by the way, there are close to 4,000 stocks listed on US stock exchanges alone)
Also, there are always other people who have more knowledge and experience in a particular industry than you, so you would probably miss some great stock ideas that are hard to discover on your own.
For the last four years from 2016 to 2019, Motley Fool’s stock picks have beaten the S&P 500 by 53%.
Now with the Coronavirus crisis going on, how have their stock picks been performing?
As of May 2020, average Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendations have returned over 399.5%, with over 100 stock recommendations with 100%+ returns.
Here are just some of their best-performing stock picks:
- Shopify: it is up 389%
- Amazon: it’s up 15,295%
- Netflix: it’s up 18,410%
- Zoom: it’s up 95%
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Just imagine that you actually found out about these great stocks way before everyone else did.
How would your investment portfolio be like today?
For these exact reasons, I’ve been using “Motley Fool Stock Advisor” for years.
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If you are a complete beginner to investing, the best stock market strategy is one that suits your personal investing style and matches your risk profile and financial goals.